Risk Terrain Modeling, or RTM, is an approach to spatial risk analysis that was developed by Les Kennedy and Joel Caplan at Rutgers University. It is used to identify risks that come from features of a landscape and model how they co-locate to create unique behavior settings for crime. We say crime as the outcome event because that was RTM’s inaugural application. But, it is currently used for a variety of other topics, including injury prevention, public health, epidemiology, traffic/transportation planning, border security, pollution, or maritime piracy. RTM is by all intents-and-purposes a diagnostic method. With a diagnosis of the attractors of criminal behavior or other hazardous outcomes, you can make very accurate forecasts. RTM offers a statistically valid way to articulate vulnerable areas at the micro-level. Watch this 7 Minute Presentation.
VISIT the RTM Documentation and Demo site to learn more and explore the many free resources.
VISIT the RTM Documentation and Demo site to learn more and explore the many free resources.
Software
Free Educational and Professional Versions.
Learn more. Evidence"A Multi-jurisdictional Test of Risk Terrain Modeling and a Place-based Evaluation of Environmental Risk-Based Patrol Deployment Strategies" Final Technical Report (PDF) | Results in Brief (PDF)
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Instructor Course Materials
Syllabus, instructor notes, assignments & more. Free to download. Learn more.
Datasets (Risk Factors)Free for you to download. Learn more.
RTM Google Grouphttps://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/risk-terrain-modeling
Be the first to learn about RTM-related news and events. Click on the link to join or learn more. |
Older Resources (Perhaps Outdated)
> Technical differences for RTM in ArcGIS 10 vs. 9.3 PDF
> Step-by-step guide for testing predictive validity, weighting, and selecting risk map layers PDF
> Notes on Testing Predictive Validity, Spatial Autocorrelation and Selecting Risk Map Layers PDF
> Video Demo of SPSS to test a RTM's predictive validity (~3 min, no audio) LINK to Flash Video
> Video Demo of Epi Info to test RTM's predictive validity (~2 min, no audio) LINK to Flash Video
> High-risk places and street level context LINK
> Step-by-step guide for testing predictive validity, weighting, and selecting risk map layers PDF
> Notes on Testing Predictive Validity, Spatial Autocorrelation and Selecting Risk Map Layers PDF
> Video Demo of SPSS to test a RTM's predictive validity (~3 min, no audio) LINK to Flash Video
> Video Demo of Epi Info to test RTM's predictive validity (~2 min, no audio) LINK to Flash Video
> High-risk places and street level context LINK
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