Journal Articles
2021. Exploring the Influence of Elements of the Social and Physical Environment on Neighborhood Gun Crime. American Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2020. Risk of Robbery in a Tourist Destination: A Monthly Examination of Atlantic City, NJ. Journal of Place Management and Development. Link
2018. Aggravating Effects of Alcohol Outlet Types on Street Robbery and Aggravated Assaults in New York City. Journal of Crime and Justice.
2018. Risk Factor and High-Risk Place Variations Across Different Robbery Targets in Denver, Colorado. Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2018. Predicting Dynamical Crime Distribution from Environmental and Social Influences. Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics. Link
2018. Examining Interactive Effects of Characteristics of the Social and Physical Environment on Aggravated Assault. Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2018. Risk Terrain Modeling and Socio-Economic Stratification: Identifying Risky Places for Violent Crime Victimization in Bogotá, Colombia. European Journal of Criminal Policy and Research. Link
2017. Crime in Context: Utilizing Risk Terrain Modeling and Conjunctive Analysis of Case Configurations to Explore the Dynamics of Criminogenic Behavior Settings. Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice. Link
2017. The Crime Kaleidoscope: A Cross-Jurisdictional Analysis of Place Features and Crime in Three Urban Environments. Applied Geography. Link
2017. Place-Based Risk Factors for Aggravated Assault Across Police Divisions in Little Rock, Arkansas. Journal of Crime and Justice. Link
2016. Bringing the Physical Environment Back Into Neighborhood Research: The Utility of RTM for Developing an Aggregate Neighborhood Risk of Crime Measure. Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2015. The Social and Geographic Patterns of Sexual Offending: Is Sexual Offender Residence Restriction Legislation Practical?. Victims & Offenders. Link
2015. Exposure to Crime: Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to the Study of Assault in Chicago. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy. Link | View Brief
2013. Joint utility of event-dependent and environmental crime analysis techniques for violent crime forecasting. Crime and Delinquency, 59(2), 243-270. Link
2012. Kansas City’s Violent Crime Initiative: A Place-Based Evaluation of Location-Specific Intervention Activities during a Fixed Time Period. Crime Mapping, 4(2), 9-37. Link
2011. Mapping the spatial influence of crime correlates: A comparison of operationalization schemes and implications for crime analysis and criminal justice practice. Cityscape, 13(3), 57-83. PDF
2011. Risk terrain modeling: Brokering criminological theory and GIS methods for crime forecasting. Justice Quarterly, 28(2), 360-381. Link
2011. Risk clusters, hotspots, and spatial intelligence: Risk Terrain Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource Allocation Strategies. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 27(3), 339-362. Link
2020. Risk of Robbery in a Tourist Destination: A Monthly Examination of Atlantic City, NJ. Journal of Place Management and Development. Link
2018. Aggravating Effects of Alcohol Outlet Types on Street Robbery and Aggravated Assaults in New York City. Journal of Crime and Justice.
2018. Risk Factor and High-Risk Place Variations Across Different Robbery Targets in Denver, Colorado. Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2018. Predicting Dynamical Crime Distribution from Environmental and Social Influences. Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics. Link
2018. Examining Interactive Effects of Characteristics of the Social and Physical Environment on Aggravated Assault. Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2018. Risk Terrain Modeling and Socio-Economic Stratification: Identifying Risky Places for Violent Crime Victimization in Bogotá, Colombia. European Journal of Criminal Policy and Research. Link
2017. Crime in Context: Utilizing Risk Terrain Modeling and Conjunctive Analysis of Case Configurations to Explore the Dynamics of Criminogenic Behavior Settings. Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice. Link
2017. The Crime Kaleidoscope: A Cross-Jurisdictional Analysis of Place Features and Crime in Three Urban Environments. Applied Geography. Link
2017. Place-Based Risk Factors for Aggravated Assault Across Police Divisions in Little Rock, Arkansas. Journal of Crime and Justice. Link
2016. Bringing the Physical Environment Back Into Neighborhood Research: The Utility of RTM for Developing an Aggregate Neighborhood Risk of Crime Measure. Journal of Criminal Justice. Link
2015. The Social and Geographic Patterns of Sexual Offending: Is Sexual Offender Residence Restriction Legislation Practical?. Victims & Offenders. Link
2015. Exposure to Crime: Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to the Study of Assault in Chicago. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy. Link | View Brief
2013. Joint utility of event-dependent and environmental crime analysis techniques for violent crime forecasting. Crime and Delinquency, 59(2), 243-270. Link
2012. Kansas City’s Violent Crime Initiative: A Place-Based Evaluation of Location-Specific Intervention Activities during a Fixed Time Period. Crime Mapping, 4(2), 9-37. Link
2011. Mapping the spatial influence of crime correlates: A comparison of operationalization schemes and implications for crime analysis and criminal justice practice. Cityscape, 13(3), 57-83. PDF
2011. Risk terrain modeling: Brokering criminological theory and GIS methods for crime forecasting. Justice Quarterly, 28(2), 360-381. Link
2011. Risk clusters, hotspots, and spatial intelligence: Risk Terrain Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource Allocation Strategies. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 27(3), 339-362. Link
Book Chapters
2014. Forecasting of Shootings using Risk Terrain Modeling. In G. Bruinsma and D. Weisburd (Eds.), Crime and Place: Crime Specialization and Concentrations. New York: Springer-Verlag. Link
2011. Risk Terrains and Crime Emergence. In J. McGloin, C. Sullivan, and L. W. Kennedy. When Crime Appears: The Role of Crime Emergence. NY: Taylor & Francis. Link
2011. Risk Terrains and Crime Emergence. In J. McGloin, C. Sullivan, and L. W. Kennedy. When Crime Appears: The Role of Crime Emergence. NY: Taylor & Francis. Link
Research Briefs
2018. Unpacking Spatio-Temporal Differences of Risk for Crime: An Analysis in Little Rock, Arkansas PDF
2017. Crime in Context: Utilizing Risk Terrain Modeling and Conjunctive Analysis to Explore the Dynamics of Criminogenic Behavior Settings PDF
2017. Place-Based Risk Factors for Aggravated Assault Across Police Divisions in Little Rock, Arkansas PDF
2017. The Crime Kaleidoscope: A Cross-Jurisdictional Analysis of Place Features and Crime in Three Urban Environments PDF
2016. Exposure to Crime: Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to the Study of Assault in Chicago (Theory of Risky Places) PDF
2016. Bringing the Physical Environ. Back Into Neighborhood Research: The Utility of RTM for Developing an Aggregate Neighborhood Risk of Crime Measure PDF
2015. Shootings in Chicago, IL PDF
2015. Robbery in Glendale, AZ PDF
2015. Aggravated Violence in Kansas City, MO PDF
2015. Gun Violence in Newark, NJ PDF
2014. Robbery in Kansas City, MO PDF
2013. Felonious Assault and Injury to Law Enforcement: Epidemiology and Spatial Risk Factors PDF
2012. Robbery Risk as a Co-function of Place and Time PDF
2012. Using Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models to Measure the Influence of Risk on Crime Incident Counts PDF
2012. Establishing Situational Context in Risk Terrains (with Conjunctive Analysis) PDF
2012. Vacant Properties and Gun Shootings: Empirical Validation of a Core Assumption of the Kensington Renewal Initiative PDF
2012. Weighted Risk Terrain Model for Aggravated Assaults in Kansas City, MO PDF
2011. An Analysis of Modern Early Warning Systems: How might Risk-Terrain Modeling contribute to the development of an optimal system PDF
2011. Applying RTM to Aggravated Assault PDF
2011. Applying RTM to Street Robberies PDF
2010. Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to a Violent Crimes Initiative in Kansas City, Missouri PDF
2010. Risk Clusters, Hotspots, and Spatial Intelligence: Risk Terrains Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource Allocation Strategies PDF
2009. Applying RTM to Shootings PDF
2017. Crime in Context: Utilizing Risk Terrain Modeling and Conjunctive Analysis to Explore the Dynamics of Criminogenic Behavior Settings PDF
2017. Place-Based Risk Factors for Aggravated Assault Across Police Divisions in Little Rock, Arkansas PDF
2017. The Crime Kaleidoscope: A Cross-Jurisdictional Analysis of Place Features and Crime in Three Urban Environments PDF
2016. Exposure to Crime: Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to the Study of Assault in Chicago (Theory of Risky Places) PDF
2016. Bringing the Physical Environ. Back Into Neighborhood Research: The Utility of RTM for Developing an Aggregate Neighborhood Risk of Crime Measure PDF
2015. Shootings in Chicago, IL PDF
2015. Robbery in Glendale, AZ PDF
2015. Aggravated Violence in Kansas City, MO PDF
2015. Gun Violence in Newark, NJ PDF
2014. Robbery in Kansas City, MO PDF
2013. Felonious Assault and Injury to Law Enforcement: Epidemiology and Spatial Risk Factors PDF
2012. Robbery Risk as a Co-function of Place and Time PDF
2012. Using Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models to Measure the Influence of Risk on Crime Incident Counts PDF
2012. Establishing Situational Context in Risk Terrains (with Conjunctive Analysis) PDF
2012. Vacant Properties and Gun Shootings: Empirical Validation of a Core Assumption of the Kensington Renewal Initiative PDF
2012. Weighted Risk Terrain Model for Aggravated Assaults in Kansas City, MO PDF
2011. An Analysis of Modern Early Warning Systems: How might Risk-Terrain Modeling contribute to the development of an optimal system PDF
2011. Applying RTM to Aggravated Assault PDF
2011. Applying RTM to Street Robberies PDF
2010. Applying Risk Terrain Modeling to a Violent Crimes Initiative in Kansas City, Missouri PDF
2010. Risk Clusters, Hotspots, and Spatial Intelligence: Risk Terrains Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource Allocation Strategies PDF
2009. Applying RTM to Shootings PDF
Other Recommended Readings
ARTICLE: 2021. Disorder or Disadvantage: Investigating the Tension Between Neighborhood Social Structure and the Physical Environment on Local Violence. Criminal Justice Review. By Barton, Valasik & Brault. Link
ARTICLE: 2021. Assessing the Differential Impact of Vacancy on Criminal Violence in the City of St. Louis, MO. Criminal Justice Review. By Fox, Trolard, Simmons, Meyers, & Vogel. Link
ARTICLE: 2019. Can We Trust Crime Predictors and Crime Categories? Expansions on the Potential Problem of Generalization. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy. By Nathan Connealy. Link
ARTICLE: 2018. Forecasting Homicide in the Red Stick: Risk Terrain Modeling and the Spatial Influence of Urban Blight on Lethal Violence in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Social Science Research. By Valasik, Braulta & Martinez. Link
CRIME REPORT. 2018. Spatial Risk Assessment: Robbery Vulnerability. Burlington Police Department, North Carolina. PDF
ARTICLE. 2018. Gang Violence Predictability: Using Risk Terrain Modeling to Study Gang Homicides and Gang Assaults in East Los Angeles. Journal of Criminal Justice. By Valasik. Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Isolating Target and Neighbourhood Vulnerabilities in Crime Forecasting. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. By Dugato, Favarin & Bosisio . Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Bus Stops and Violence, Are Risky Places Really Risky? European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. By Gerell. Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Applying Crime Prediction Techniques to Japan: A Comparison Between Risk Terrain Modeling and Other Methods. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. By Ohyama & Amemiya. Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Unpacking Spatio-temporal Differences of Risk for Crime: An Analysis in Little Rock, AR. Policing. By Chillar & Drawve. Link
ARTICLE. 2017. Risky Places: An Analysis of Carjackings in Detroit. Journal of Criminal Justice. By Lersch. Link
ARTICLE. 2017. Forecasting Organized Crime Homicides: Risk Terrain Modeling of Camorra Violence in Naples, Italy. J of Interpersonal Violence. By Dugato et al. Link
ARTICLE. 2017. Close Only Counts in Alcohol and Violence: Controlling Violence Near Late-Night Alcohol Establishments. J of Criminal Justice. By Burgason et al. Link
ARTICLE. 2015. Testing the predictability of crime forecasting models using patio-temporal analysis and risk terrain modeling. Korean Criminological Review. By Roh Sunghoon. [English & Korean Abstract; Article is written in Korean] Link
ARTICLE. 2015. Identifying risky places for crime: An analysis of the criminogenic spatiotemporal influences of landscape features on street robberies. U.S. Department of Justice. By Yasmin Irvin-Ericsson. Link
ARTICLE. 2015. Using risk terrain modeling technique to identify places with the greatest risk for violent crimes in New Haven. Crime Mapping & Analysis News. By Charles Anyinam. Link
ARTICLE. 2014, online first. Predictability of gun crimes: A comparison of hot spots and risk terrain modelling techniques. Policing and Society: An International Journal of Research and Policy. By Grant Drawve, Stacy Moak, & Emily Berthelot. Link
ARTICLE. 2014, online first. A metric comparison of predictive hot spot techniques & RTM. Justice Quarterly. By Grant Drawve. Link
ARTICLE. 2013. Assessing the validity of risk terrain modeling in a European city: Preventing robberies in Milan. Crime Mapping, 5(1), 63-89. By Marco Dugato, TRANSCRIME. Link
MANUSCRIPT. 2016. Applying RTM to Identify High Risk Locations for Active Shooter Events. Thesis from Mercyhurst University. By John Hecht. PDF
REPORT. 2016. FIP (the Ideas for Peace Foundation): Homicidio y venta de drogas ilícitas: una peligrosa dupla en Bogotá. Link
REPORT. 2012. Oregon Knowledge Bank. Successful RTM Project to Forecast Robberies in Portland. Link
NEWS. 2017. Ordinance Reduces Violent Crime Near Late-Night Bars Making Owners Part of Solution. Link
NEWS. 2015. Inequality in Bogota, A Key Factor in Predicting Crime. Dinero | Link
NEWS. 2015. Latin American Cities Studied How to Predict Crime. World Bank | English Link, Spanish Link
NEWS. 2015. Interview on Latin American TV discussing the RTM research findings in Bogotá, re: crime and infrastructure. NTN24 | Watch
ARTICLE: 2021. Assessing the Differential Impact of Vacancy on Criminal Violence in the City of St. Louis, MO. Criminal Justice Review. By Fox, Trolard, Simmons, Meyers, & Vogel. Link
ARTICLE: 2019. Can We Trust Crime Predictors and Crime Categories? Expansions on the Potential Problem of Generalization. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy. By Nathan Connealy. Link
ARTICLE: 2018. Forecasting Homicide in the Red Stick: Risk Terrain Modeling and the Spatial Influence of Urban Blight on Lethal Violence in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Social Science Research. By Valasik, Braulta & Martinez. Link
CRIME REPORT. 2018. Spatial Risk Assessment: Robbery Vulnerability. Burlington Police Department, North Carolina. PDF
ARTICLE. 2018. Gang Violence Predictability: Using Risk Terrain Modeling to Study Gang Homicides and Gang Assaults in East Los Angeles. Journal of Criminal Justice. By Valasik. Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Isolating Target and Neighbourhood Vulnerabilities in Crime Forecasting. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. By Dugato, Favarin & Bosisio . Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Bus Stops and Violence, Are Risky Places Really Risky? European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. By Gerell. Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Applying Crime Prediction Techniques to Japan: A Comparison Between Risk Terrain Modeling and Other Methods. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. By Ohyama & Amemiya. Link
ARTICLE. 2018. Unpacking Spatio-temporal Differences of Risk for Crime: An Analysis in Little Rock, AR. Policing. By Chillar & Drawve. Link
ARTICLE. 2017. Risky Places: An Analysis of Carjackings in Detroit. Journal of Criminal Justice. By Lersch. Link
ARTICLE. 2017. Forecasting Organized Crime Homicides: Risk Terrain Modeling of Camorra Violence in Naples, Italy. J of Interpersonal Violence. By Dugato et al. Link
ARTICLE. 2017. Close Only Counts in Alcohol and Violence: Controlling Violence Near Late-Night Alcohol Establishments. J of Criminal Justice. By Burgason et al. Link
ARTICLE. 2015. Testing the predictability of crime forecasting models using patio-temporal analysis and risk terrain modeling. Korean Criminological Review. By Roh Sunghoon. [English & Korean Abstract; Article is written in Korean] Link
ARTICLE. 2015. Identifying risky places for crime: An analysis of the criminogenic spatiotemporal influences of landscape features on street robberies. U.S. Department of Justice. By Yasmin Irvin-Ericsson. Link
ARTICLE. 2015. Using risk terrain modeling technique to identify places with the greatest risk for violent crimes in New Haven. Crime Mapping & Analysis News. By Charles Anyinam. Link
ARTICLE. 2014, online first. Predictability of gun crimes: A comparison of hot spots and risk terrain modelling techniques. Policing and Society: An International Journal of Research and Policy. By Grant Drawve, Stacy Moak, & Emily Berthelot. Link
ARTICLE. 2014, online first. A metric comparison of predictive hot spot techniques & RTM. Justice Quarterly. By Grant Drawve. Link
ARTICLE. 2013. Assessing the validity of risk terrain modeling in a European city: Preventing robberies in Milan. Crime Mapping, 5(1), 63-89. By Marco Dugato, TRANSCRIME. Link
MANUSCRIPT. 2016. Applying RTM to Identify High Risk Locations for Active Shooter Events. Thesis from Mercyhurst University. By John Hecht. PDF
REPORT. 2016. FIP (the Ideas for Peace Foundation): Homicidio y venta de drogas ilícitas: una peligrosa dupla en Bogotá. Link
REPORT. 2012. Oregon Knowledge Bank. Successful RTM Project to Forecast Robberies in Portland. Link
NEWS. 2017. Ordinance Reduces Violent Crime Near Late-Night Bars Making Owners Part of Solution. Link
NEWS. 2015. Inequality in Bogota, A Key Factor in Predicting Crime. Dinero | Link
NEWS. 2015. Latin American Cities Studied How to Predict Crime. World Bank | English Link, Spanish Link
NEWS. 2015. Interview on Latin American TV discussing the RTM research findings in Bogotá, re: crime and infrastructure. NTN24 | Watch